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Per Hanson

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Rappid escalation

The Israeli Iran war continues to broil and in fact it continues to escalate. The missile strikes going back and forth between the two sides. The target set expands and the end to the war is further and further apart, and it's not even clear if anybody knows where the war is going or what they're trying to accomplish.

[. . .]

be careful what you wish for because it could end up a lot worse than it was, and I don't need to go through the wreckage i've done it too many times before, but you start going into regime change because you have this fantasy that it's going to turn out better you're almost always going to be wrong.

[. . .]

they didn't attack Israel. Israel started this war. Let's be crystal clear. From the outset here this is an Israeli chosen strike that they claimed was preventative, and all it did was prevent peace.

[. . .]

It is so easy folks to start a war. It is damn hard to end one. And once these things start, I've been telling you this ever since we've had this channel, wars take on a life of their own.

[. . .]

if we [US] attack Iran. If we join in with this attack with Iran, then it is almost certain that Iran will turn those missiles against our bases and we have no defense against it.

2025 06 15 TS Trump MiddleEast

 

If you look at the statements by China and of Russia at the UN security council emergency meeting, and they were absolutely clear this was illegal. It was against the UN charter. It was against the standards of values of the diplomatic world. It was against international law and they condemned it utterly. And this will have an impact because there's a thing under article 51 of the United Nations which means the it's called the collective defense and that Iran can appeal to the collective defense procedures, so that countries like China states like Russia like Pakistan, I mean, have an absolute legitimate um reason and are obliged to come to the help of Iran.

[. . .]

Now Iran has made a decision yesterday that it is going to attack hard and it is going to demilitarize Israel. I can't tell you if that will be successful, but that is what is intended and I don't think they're about to back down into a truce or into some form of ceasefire and certainly not until they've reached their objectives will that be talks again with the Americans. So this has been a big failure.

 

The Russians and the Chinese may be able to work something out because they have a big big stake in the oil and the fact that, you know, Iran is right next to Russia. There they don't want an atomic explosion or a nuclear explosion and the fallout going through the past Caspian Sea. I mean the nuclear issue is key here. Nobody mentions it, but I don't put it past Netanyahu in dire straits, you know in extremists as we say to resort to nuclear weapons. Why does anybody call attention to that? That's what I think is motivating the Russians and the Chinese.

 

Trump is playing a very dangerous double game and in in the process of playing this game he's completely discredited himself. You know no leader in the world, especially Vladimir Putin, will trust anything that Donald Trump says going forward particularly after this version of Pearl Harbor on Iran that took place last Friday.

[. . .]

This is all about regime change that started under Joe Biden.

[. . .]

Elon Musk Starlink played a role in this. Starlink went live on June 13th. The date that the attack started, so Starlink is being used as a communication device to coordinate the different terrorist attacks that are taking place in Iran right now, so at some point I wouldn't be surprised to see Russia come to Iran's aid with some electronic warfare capabilities to turn Starlink off.

 

 

 

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